Sri Lanka should join supply chain of mega countries – Dr. Amunugama


Sri Lanka should join supply chain of mega countries – Dr. Amunugama

Senior Minister for International Monetary Co-operation Dr. Sarath
Amunugama said it is important that Sri Lanka should join the supply
chain of mega countries and showcase its products particularly in the
manufacturing sector. This, however has to be done by being realistic
and not nationalistic he said in an interview with the Sunday Observer.
We have to join the mega supply chain by looking at our primary
products.

The Minister said that in the modern world, we cannot have economic
growth unless we invest in infrastructure. All countries in Asia that
have come up and are experiencing double dight growth have invested in
infrastructure. Otherwise, we will be like the Veddhas, pottering away
in our own little garden. We have to build ports, harbours, airports,
roads and bridges. All these modern facilities are being provided
expeditiously so that there will be a take-off in the economy. Unless
our ports are developed, we can’t run an import-export economy.

Dr. Amunugama categorically rejected the claims by the Opposition on
militarisation saying there are over 150,000 war heroes who fought in
the war against terrorism. They have to be paid their salaries and they
have to be treated well. What does the UNP expect? Should these soldiers
be just sent back to their villages, where they will then create mayhem?
The Government will take responsibility to look after them. They will
dedicate themselves to develop the country. We have the best people in
the military. Our latest communication technology is handled by the Army
and not by Universities.

The latest jets and pilots are with the Air force not in SriLankan
Airlines. Our Navy is one of the best Navies in the world. We have
trained and motivated people who have used their training to win the war
against terrorists and safeguard the lives of the people. Now they are
using those same skills to develop the country as well. What is wrong
with that? Instead of talking about militarisation, the Opposition
should stop being sloppy, disorganised, vicious and attacking one
another. They need discipline. They are the people who need military
discipline!

Q: Sri Lanka is poised to have a growth rate of well over
eight percent this year. What are the steps being taken to continue this
momentum?


A:
Sri Lanka is having a growth rate of over eight percent for
the last two years. It is very important that we sustain this momentum.
Basically when we look at the economy in relation to agriculture,
manufacturing and the service sector, we are doing extremely well in the
agriculture sector with products from the North and the East as this has
increased by leaps and bounds.

We are traditionally dependent on agriculture. The picture of serial
production has gone up.

We are now moving from an economy that was self-sufficient to an
export-oriented economy with rice being one of the items to be exported.
When we got Independence, we had only eight million people. Even at that
time, rice was imported from Myanmar, China and some other countries.

Now we have 20 million people. We can feed them and even export rice.
I think it is a tribute to all the governments in this country. We are
developing the agriculture sector and we can do more particularly on
post-harvest aspects. We lose a bulk of rice, vegetables and various
products due to post harvest losses.

We have asked for assistance from the World Bank to remedy this
situation. This is a natural occurrence in most countries when
production is increasing. Earlier we wanted to increase production but
once we hit those targets, we have to improve the situation. Milling and
storage are areas that have to be looked into . We must think of
commercial agriculture.

In the case of tea, we are moving from bulk to manufacture value
added tea. Our rival producers like Kenya are having problems. So
overall I think, we should be able to hold steady next year.

Fortunately, we were not badly affected in manufacturing as most
countries which had a broader manufacturing base because of the demand
particularly from the US and Europe coming down. People are not spending
on consumer goods in those countries. The demand for manufactured goods
are coming down.

The textile sector, is doing well through niche marketing and better
products. We can continue to have a growth of about 20 percent. I
discussed with the Minister of Finance of China Xie Xuren recently. He
pointed out that many of the light industries and other industries such
as textile, toy making etc will be moving out of China. Earlier wages
were so low in China that everybody rushed there because of the
comparative advantage of the low cost of production. At present the
wages of Chinese workers have gone up. Many of those industries will
move out to countries which offer a lower wage.

The West is bringing various sanctions in an unofficial manner. So we
will be able to capitalise on these. The Chinese Finance Minister also
said 35 million jobs will move out of China into countries like the
Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand and Sri Lanka. So we have to have a good
strategy to expand our manufacturing base by making good use of the
changes that are taking place in the Chinese economy.

We can make a dramatic improvement in the service sector as well.

Tourism is definitely going to improve. With global tourism,
remittances coming in the IT sector is also increasing. We should be
able to maintain the eight percent growth or even go up to nine percent.

Q: There is some turbulence in international financial
markets, but our sovereign bonds have done well. What are the reasons
for this?

A: Our sovereign bonds were oversubscribed seven times. We
asked for $ one billion. We could have easily raised $ seven to $ ten
billion at low interest rates. Normally when the economy is not doing
well, we have to have higher interest rates to get the money coming for
bonds. But when the economy is doing well, we can bring down the rate of
interest. Here it was a historically low rate of interest.

In fact there was one American company that wanted to buy the whole
bond issue of one billion.

Q: Forbes has said that Sri Lanka’s Rupee was perhaps the only
currency in Asia that is swimming against the Asian currency
depreciation tide. However, there are arguments that Sri Lanka should
depreciate the rupee, which will also benefit exporters. What is your
view?

A: This is a controversial issue. Exporters would naturally
like to devalue the rupee because they would have more rupees for their
Dollar earnings. But when we look at the economy, we have to look at
every side.

One side is our debt repayments. When we are repaying at the rate of
110, then we don’t have to find so many rupees as it would be paying at
125 or thereabouts. So there is also a saving in debt repayments. The
other point we have to remember is that if we devalue the rupee, the
cost of imported item for the ordinary person such as potatoes, onions,
sugar or oil will have to be imported at a higher rupee rate.

Then either the Government will have to subsidise more or they will
have to pass it on to the consumer. So when we keep it at a certain
level,we are also ensuring that there is less inflation and less hitting
the pocket of the small man. After the budget, we will have to see if
the economy is faring even better.

More employment is being generated locally and the people have more
purchasing power. At the moment, we want to go on a narrow band of
change. We should also remember this it is only against the Dollar.
There has been considerable devaluation against the other currencies as
well.

Q: The Colombo Stock Exchange has once again emerged as one of
the best performing markets in Asia. What are the factors that led to
this success?

A: When people feel that the economy is booming, then they
want to get a piece of that action. As we know, there are a large number
of pension funds and various financial institutions which invest with
the idea of making a profit.

If we take a pension fund, investment fund, American, European or
Indian fund, they are looking all over the world where they can invest
the money and make a profit. They also want to see the value of their
investment blow.

When there is an upswing in the economy, people confidently come and
invest. When the economy is going down, they take their investment out.

That happened to us in the 2006 and 2007 period. Some of these
investment funds took their money away. But when the economy is growing
there is money coming into the country.

The second thing is that we are having a lot of retail purchases and
people are getting used to the Stock Market. Basically the health of an
economy is determined by the attitude of the Stock Market. Punters or
investors see a likelihood of making money because the economy is
improving. Then they invest.

Q: There was a report in Bloomberg on Wednesday that Sri Lanka
and the Philippines are the only two countries in Asia that does
consistently well in terms of gender equality on economic opportunity,
education, politics, health and survival. What are the Government plans
to further empower women economically?

A: Women are already economically empowered in Sri Lanka. If
we look at all our major industries such as garments, tea and
remittances from abroad, they are driven by women. Really in Sri Lanka,
it is the men who have a good time. Most of them wearing red shirts are
shouting on roads and going about, what work do they do? The real
working class in Sri Lanka are the women. There are no large
concentration of men in the working class, either they are clerical
officers, postal workers or doctors.

They think they are the working class. But the real workers in Sri
Lanka are the women in the garment, tea sector, remittances or even in
the other areas. Even in the IT sector, 50 percent maybe women. It’s
quite different in other countries. Because we have universal education.
There is no gender inequality in schools and universities. In fact I
think universities have more women than men.

Q: What kind of exposure is the Government expecting through
Sri Lanka Expo to be held next year?

A: We have to showcase our products particularly in the
manufacturing sector. If we look at China, one reason why they were able
to move fast in the manufacturing sector was that all the ingredients
were together so that anyone can place an order.

If we take their textile field, textiles, designs and buttons, are
available at the show. So the investor takes all that.

We must showcase whatever we can. More fundamental and a very serious
issue is advancing into the future. We have to look at our nearest
country, India. India is going into mega manufacturing like motorcars,
machinery etc. So Sri Lanka must get into the supply chain. If there is
a large motor industry growing in Chennai, then we should link our
rubber industries with that.

If there is growth in computer manufacturing, we should be use some
of our own metals that can be produced in Pesalai and various other
places.

There are so many minerals produced in Sri Lanka which can be used in
the supply chain of major manufacturers. Some of these items are sent to
countries like Japan, Korea and Thailand.

It is very important that Sri Lanka joins the supply chain of mega
countries.

We have to realise that we must join the mega supply chain by looking
at our primary products as a way of supplying. This can be done. We have
not explored our minerals and we are not making full use of rubber and
tea.

All these must transform as a part of the supply chain for mega
manufacturing. In addition, if we also get gas and oil, our import
commodities bill has to be contained. Then we can go even much faster.

Q: The potential for gas and oil reserves off the coast of Sri
Lanka has been established. What kind of impact will this have on the
economy in the long term?

A: What they say is that if you hit gas or oil, your dreams
can come true. Of course we are very lucky in the sense that preliminary
findings are very positive. But of course it must be put in perspective
and a lot of hard work has to be done. We have to find out whether it is
available in commercial quantities.

We will reap the benefits immediately. Take the case of Cairns, their
shares are going up in the Indian market where they are registered. This
shows how correct the Government was in this matter.

I saw some newspapers where the Opposition was saying why did we sell
one block? We would have sold all together. Now we have sold only one
block. So we can sell the other blocks at a much higher rate. This shows
how idiotic these so-called economists in the Opposition are and what
they say. They have no practical knowledge.

Q: With the dawn of peace a lot of development activities are
taking place in the country in all spheres. What is your personal
contribution and are you happy with it?

A: The Chinese started their growth by developing their ports
in the Southern areas. Basically those are the cornerstones of economic
growth.

Q: The Opposition is alleging that the Hambantota Port,
Kerawalapitiya coal power plant and Maththala Airport as unproductive
schemes where huge amounts of money have been spent without proper
planning. What are your comments?

A: I want to say that these projects have been thoroughly
vetted by the Sri Lanka Government and Governments giving money on loan
to complete these projects. In the modern world, no bank however
friendly they may be are going to give money if the project is not
feasible.

Hambantota Port is an example. Finance Ministry Secretary Dr. P.B.
Jayasundara, Sri Lanka Ports Authority Chairman Priyath Banduwickrama
and myself were the three people who negotiated the deal in Beijing,
China.

They called for strict feasibility studies.

Not being satisfied with our feasibility study, they even sent their
own team and did a feasibility study. It was after this that they gave
the money. Whatever the Opposition might say all these projects have
been found to be feasible. The country must invest and after some time
the benefits will kick into the economy.

There can be small problems. In any major project, this is the form.
This is just a small percentage compared to the benefits that will
accrue to the country. Whether the Opposition likes it or not, the
Government will invest in these projects. These are vital for
development and all these are paying propositions.

When we get 300MW on coal power coming into our grid, firstly we are
giving electricity to everybody. Secondly we are reducing the oil import
bill. Because of that we can keep the electrical tariff at a reasonable
level. These are all benefits. Every one of those projects will begin to
add value to our economy.

That is why foreign investors, foreign rating agencies, IMF and all
banks see this as a growth prospect. What competence does the Opposition
have to comment on these projects? Do they study these projects? Do they
have access to a feasibility study? They are just on a mud slinging
spree.

Q: The Government has focused attention on the city
development program, specially the Colombo Municipal Council area and
adjoining suburbs and a Metropolitan Corporation is also in the
pipeline. How would this concept help improve the socio-economic
standard of the people and what would be the main advantages of this
innovative project?

A: Anybody will say that today Colombo is looking its best.
Visitors to Sri Lanka say they are happy to come to Colombo because it
is beautiful and safe.

If we compare Colombo with other cities in Asia , there is no doubt
that it is one of the best. I cannot understand how anyone can complain
about beautifying the city.

Earlier they said there were security checkpoints everywhere.
Security barriers have now been removed and the people can move freely.

I invite the Opposition to go to Galle Face on a weekend and see the
number of people who come there. Tourists also have a good impression of
our country.

What are they talking about? This is only the beginning. Under the
guidance of Defence Secretary Gotabaya Rajapaksa, Colombo will be made
into a wonder city.

Secondly the Opposition comes with the stupid idea that there is
militarisation. We have 150,000 war heroes, they have to be paid and
kept occupied.

They have to be treated well. What does the UNP expect? Should they
be sent back home or kept unemployed in their villages where they can
then create mayhem? The Government will take the responsibility to look
after them. They will work and improve the country. We should not forget
that we have the best assets in the military.

Our latest communication technology is handled by the Army and not by
the universities.

The latest jets and pilots are in the Air force not in the SriLankan
Airlines. What about our Navy? It is one of the world’s best Navies. We
have highly trained and motivated people. Now they are using that same
skills to develop the country as well. What is wrong with that?

Q: What have you got to say about the United Nations attitude
on the recent developments with regard to the termination of terrorism
in our country and specially with the bold speech made by President
Mahinda Rajapaksa at the last UN session?

A: The President has clearly enunciated Sri Lanka’s position.
This was a war against terrorism. The people in the North and the East
are our own people. The democratisation process through elections is
taking place in the North and the East.

The Local government elections were conducted in the North and
Provincial Council elections will also be held in the future. The
diaspora and certain NGOs who were living off the war are disturbed.

They are using their leverage particularly in the US and the European
Union to take revenge for having lost the war. This has nothing to do
with what happened there. What happened there will be clearly enunciated
by the LLRC. They have to wait till all this is clearly explained. The
world is not the US and the European Union.

They are very important and we respect their views. We have to win
them over. But there is a whole world outside as well.

Today the world is much more complex than when they planned. What has
happened in the Arab States and the 09/11. Except Sri Lanka, the
security situation is becoming difficult in most Asian countries. Things
are changing. I think we have a very good future and we should be
determined.

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